Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mirandes win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for FC Andorra had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mirandes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest FC Andorra win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mirandes would win this match.