Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amorebieta win with a probability of 39.77%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 28.81%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amorebieta win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.29%) and 2-1 (7.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.71%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Amorebieta would win this match.