Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 17.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Gijon	Draw	Amorebieta
57.52% ( 0.35)	24.76% ( -0.13)	17.72% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 43% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.61% (

0.15)

57.39% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.8% (

0.12)

78.2% (

-0.12)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.1% (

0.2)

19.9% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.97% (

0.32)

52.03% (

-0.32)

Amorebieta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.68% (

-0.19)

46.31% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.04% (

-0.15)

81.96% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Sporting Gijon 57.52%

Amorebieta 17.72%

Draw 24.76%

Sporting Gijon	Draw	Amorebieta
1-0 @ 14.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 57.52%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.53% Total : 24.76%	0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.44% Total : 17.72%