Copa del Rey | First Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Guijuelo

CD Guijuelo
0 - 3
Sporting Gijon


Gil (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mateo (59' og.), Hassan (67'), Fernandez (86')
Izquierdoz (60')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between CD Guijuelo and Sporting Gijon.

Form, Standings, Stats

CD Guijuelo

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: CD Guijuelo 1-2 Villarreal
Tuesday, December 20 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Sporting Gijon

All competitions
Last Game: Sporting Gijon 2-0 Espanyol
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for CD Guijuelo had a probability of 21.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a CD Guijuelo win it was 1-0 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.

Result
CD GuijueloDrawSporting Gijon
21.84% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)27.82% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)50.34% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 41% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.86% (0.035000000000004 0.04)63.14% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.43% (0.026 0.03)82.57% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
CD Guijuelo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.98% (0.0019999999999953 0)45.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.05%80.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Sporting Gijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (0.027999999999992 0.03)25.42% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (0.038999999999994 0.04)60.24% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    CD Guijuelo 21.84%
    Sporting Gijon 50.33%
    Draw 27.81%
CD GuijueloDrawSporting Gijon
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 3.65% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 1.33%
3-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
3-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 21.84%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 11.44% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 15.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 50.33%

How you voted: CD Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijon

CD Guijuelo
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Sporting Gijon
100%
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