Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for CD Guijuelo had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a CD Guijuelo win it was 1-0 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.