Eldense
Segunda Division | Gameweek 13
Oct 28, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat

Eldense
2 - 0
Amorebieta

Ortuno (14', 70' pen.)
Dumic (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Garreta (42'), Moran (46')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Eldense and Amorebieta.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eldense

All competitions
Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 1-1 Eldense
Sunday, October 22 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Amorebieta

All competitions
Last Game: Amorebieta 0-0 Real Oviedo
Saturday, October 21 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eldense win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eldense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eldense would win this match.

Result
EldenseDrawAmorebieta
38.77% (0.712 0.71)27.71% (0.097999999999999 0.1)33.52% (-0.804 -0.8)
Both teams to score 48.44% (-0.416 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.66% (-0.46 -0.46)57.35% (0.468 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.83% (-0.367 -0.37)78.17% (0.37400000000001 0.37)
Eldense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (0.19300000000001 0.19)28.74% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (0.238 0.24)64.58% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Amorebieta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.98% (-0.76599999999999 -0.77)32.02% (0.773 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (-0.885 -0.88)68.48% (0.892 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Eldense 38.77%
    Amorebieta 33.52%
    Draw 27.7%
EldenseDrawAmorebieta
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 8.15% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.15% (0.2 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.39% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 38.77%
1-1 @ 13.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.2% (0.164 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.065 -0.06)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 10.48% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.44% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.52%