Eldense
Segunda Division | Gameweek 9
Oct 4, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat
Real Valladolid logo

Eldense
0 - 1
Valladolid


Bernal Carreras (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sylla (25')
Meseguer (45+1'), Akinsola (55'), Sylla (69'), Rosa (90+7')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Eldense and Real Valladolid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eldense

All competitions
Last Game: Eldense 1-3 Real Oviedo
Sunday, October 1 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Last Game: Valladolid 3-0 Burgos
Sunday, October 1 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 36.18%. A win for Eldense had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Eldense win was 1-0 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Valladolid in this match.

Result
EldenseDrawReal Valladolid
35.54% (-0.989 -0.99)28.29% (0.193 0.19)36.18% (0.79799999999999 0.8)
Both teams to score 46.94% (-0.564 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.7% (-0.694 -0.69)59.3% (0.697 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.3% (-0.538 -0.54)79.7% (0.54000000000001 0.54)
Eldense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.31% (-0.976 -0.98)31.69% (0.977 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.9% (-1.139 -1.14)68.1% (1.14 1.14)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.72% (0.157 0.16)31.28% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.36% (0.183 0.18)67.64% (-0.18199999999999 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Eldense 35.54%
    Real Valladolid 36.17%
    Draw 28.28%
EldenseDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 11.39%
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.179 -0.18)
2-0 @ 6.55% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-1 @ 2.91% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 35.54%
1-1 @ 13.23% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.91% (0.257 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.28%
0-1 @ 11.51% (0.34 0.34)
1-2 @ 7.69% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.69% (0.23 0.23)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.59% (0.1 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 36.17%

How you voted: Eldense vs Valladolid

Eldense
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Real Valladolid
66.7%
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