Segunda Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Romareda
Eldense

Zaragoza
2 - 0
Eldense

Azon (42'), Piina (57' og.)
Maikel (9'), Serrano (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dumic (12')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Zaragoza and Eldense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Zaragoza

All competitions
Last Game: Tenerife 0-1 Zaragoza
Saturday, August 26 at 6pm in Segunda Division

Eldense

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Eldense 2-1 Eibar
Monday, August 28 at 6pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 51.72%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 21.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Eldense win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.

Result
Real ZaragozaDrawEldense
51.72% (1.667 1.67)27.02% (-0.579 -0.58)21.26% (-1.091 -1.09)
Both teams to score 42.28% (0.226 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.87% (0.946 0.95)61.13% (-0.94900000000001 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.91% (0.702 0.7)81.09% (-0.70399999999999 -0.7)
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.11% (1.19 1.19)23.88% (-1.192 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.91% (1.674 1.67)58.09% (-1.676 -1.68)
Eldense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.55% (-0.585 -0.59)44.45% (0.582 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.51% (-0.479 -0.48)80.49% (0.476 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Real Zaragoza 51.72%
    Eldense 21.26%
    Draw 27.01%
Real ZaragozaDrawEldense
1-0 @ 15.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.88% (0.36 0.36)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.153 0.15)
3-0 @ 5.2% (0.343 0.34)
3-1 @ 4.21% (0.213 0.21)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.182 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.125 0.13)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 51.72%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 10.61% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 27.01%
0-1 @ 8.61% (-0.455 -0.46)
1-2 @ 5% (-0.168 -0.17)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.245 -0.25)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 21.26%