Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 47.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.