Segunda Division | Gameweek 40
May 13, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Romareda

Zaragoza
2 - 0
Cartagena

Poveda (27' og.), Bermejo (90+6' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Zaragoza and Cartagena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Oviedo 2-1 Zaragoza
Sunday, May 7 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 0-0 Burgos
Sunday, May 7 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 47.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 24.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.

Result
Real ZaragozaDrawCartagena
47.55% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)27.8% (0.053999999999998 0.05)24.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.68% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.86% (-0.18 -0.18)61.14% (0.178 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.9% (-0.135 -0.14)81.09% (0.131 0.13)
Real Zaragoza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (-0.11 -0.11)25.85% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.18% (-0.146 -0.15)60.82% (0.143 0.14)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.91% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)41.09% (0.103 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.36% (-0.093 -0.09)77.63% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Real Zaragoza 47.55%
    Cartagena 24.64%
    Draw 27.8%
Real ZaragozaDrawCartagena
1-0 @ 14.36% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.9% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 47.55%
1-1 @ 12.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.62% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 27.8%
0-1 @ 9.45% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 1.69% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 24.64%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2022 9pm
gameweek 3
Cartagena
1-0
Zaragoza
De Blasis (82')
Alcala (11'), Rico (28'), Jansson (49'), Datkovic (58')
Musto (88')

Grau (34'), Molina (38'), Vada (52'), Petrovic (70'), Mollejo (90+4')
Grau (79')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 32
Cartagena
3-0
Zaragoza
Delmas (34'), Dauda (51'), Bodiger (68')
Castro (44'), Datkovic (84')

Gimenez (40'), Vada (46'), Azon (89')
Aug 30, 2021 9pm
gameweek 3
Zaragoza
0-1
Cartagena

Igbekeme (65'), Nano (85')
Gamez (71' og.)
Cayarga (3'), Claveria (90+1'), Ortuno (90+3')
Apr 1, 2021 8.30pm
gameweek 32
Zaragoza
0-0
Cartagena

Narvaez (53'), Peybernes (74')

Andujar (46'), Cayarga (75')
Jan 2, 2021 7.30pm
gameweek 20
Cartagena
1-1
Zaragoza
Andujar (60')
Angel (34'), Aguza (66'), David (84')
Azon (81')
Vigaray (24'), Zapater (90'), Igbekeme (90+2')