Segunda Division | Gameweek 36
Apr 16, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio La Rosaleda

Malaga
1 - 0
Cartagena

Chavarria (21')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Malaga and Cartagena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions
Last Game: Villarreal II 1-2 Malaga
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Cartagena

All competitions
Last Game: Cartagena 1-0 Mirandes
Sunday, April 9 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.4%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (12.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.

Result
MalagaDrawCartagena
36.93% (-0.111 -0.11)29.69% (0.052 0.05)33.38% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 42.87% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.81% (-0.154 -0.15)64.19% (0.157 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.68% (-0.11 -0.11)83.32% (0.114 0.11)
Malaga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.68% (-0.152 -0.15)33.31% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.07% (-0.167 -0.17)69.93% (0.16900000000001 0.17)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)35.72% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)72.49% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Malaga 36.92%
    Cartagena 33.38%
    Draw 29.68%
MalagaDrawCartagena
1-0 @ 13.07% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.4% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.63% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 36.92%
1-1 @ 13.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.89% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.68%
0-1 @ 12.25% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 6.31% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 33.38%

How you voted: Malaga vs Cartagena

Malaga
53.8%
Draw
7.7%
Cartagena
38.5%
13
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2022 6pm
Cartagena
2-1
Malaga
Ortuno (51'), Jansson (77')
Gutierrez (60')
Burgos (22')
Feb 28, 2022 8pm
Malaga
1-1
Cartagena
Brandon (54')
Vadillo (7'), Escassi (45+1'), Chavarria (90+3')
Okazaki (90+5')
Datkovic (57')
Nov 7, 2021 5.15pm
Cartagena
3-1
Malaga
Castro (45' pen., 65'), Vazquez (54')
Andujar (5'), Neskes (90+3')
Peybernes (82')
Jimenez (9'), Rodriguez (37'), Gomez (43'), de la Fuente (61'), Peybernes (78')
Mar 27, 2021 7.30pm
Cartagena
1-1
Malaga
Cayarga (14')
Fornies (8'), de Blasis (51'), Navas (57')
Navas (90')
Jozabed (81')
Benitez Palomero (58'), Matos (62'), Munoz (65'), Martinez (77'), Rahmani (78')
Dec 5, 2020 7.30pm
Malaga
1-2
Cartagena
Martinez (17' og.)
Munoz (42'), Rahmani (90'), Martinez (90+3')
Gallar (29'), De la Bella (58')
Gil (9'), de la Bella (80'), Claveria (89')