Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 44.86%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 27.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.84%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (9.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cartagena in this match.