Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 39.31%. A draw had a probability of 30.6% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 30.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.01%) and 2-1 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.42%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.