Segunda Division | Gameweek 37
Apr 22, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal Cartagonova

Cartagena
2 - 1
Sporting Gijon

Poveda (31'), Ortuno (40')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Insua (42')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Sporting Gijon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cartagena

All competitions
Last Game: Malaga 1-0 Cartagena
Sunday, April 16 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Sporting Gijon

All competitions
Last Game: Sporting Gijon 0-0 Alaves
Sunday, April 16 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 32.84% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (12.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.

Result
CartagenaDrawSporting Gijon
37.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)29.73% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)32.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 42.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.63% (0.020000000000003 0.02)64.36% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.55% (0.013999999999999 0.01)83.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.91% (0.015000000000001 0.02)33.09% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.31% (0.013999999999999 0.01)69.68% (-0.012 -0.01)
Sporting Gijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.8% (0.012 0.01)36.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.02% (0.012 0.01)72.98% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cartagena 37.42%
    Sporting Gijon 32.84%
    Draw 29.72%
CartagenaDrawSporting Gijon
1-0 @ 13.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 7.33%
3-1 @ 2.74% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 37.42%
1-1 @ 13.46%
0-0 @ 11.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.78% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.72%
0-1 @ 12.17%
1-2 @ 6.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 32.84%

Head to Head
Dec 11, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 20
Sporting Gijon
0-0
Cartagena

Alcala (11')
Mar 26, 2022 5pm
gameweek 33
Sporting Gijon
4-1
Cartagena
Delmas (39' og.), Durdevic (49' pen., 74'), Diaz (82')
Milovanov (30'), Rivera (52'), Diaz (64')
Gil (19')
Silva (48')
Oct 19, 2021 6pm
gameweek 11
Cartagena
1-0
Sporting Gijon
Castro (79' pen.)

Kravets (64'), Babin (83')
Kravets (78')
Jan 31, 2021 1pm
gameweek 23
Sporting Gijon
0-0
Cartagena

Valiente (52'), Diaz (60')
Garcia (79')

Datkovic (8'), Gallar (28'), Simon (29'), Angel (32'), Aburjania (78')
Sep 20, 2020 5.15pm
gameweek 2
Cartagena
0-1
Sporting Gijon

Carrasquilla (55'), Andujar (84')
Andujar (90')
Gragera (72')
Carmona (78')