Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.04%) and 1-2 (7.95%). The likeliest UD Ibiza win was 1-0 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.