Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 34.81%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 31.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.87%) and 2-1 (6.69%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (13.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.