Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albacete win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albacete win was 0-1 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest UD Ibiza win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albacete would win this match.