Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 47.32%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 24.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Real Zaragoza win it was 0-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.