Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 20.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.45%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.35%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tenerife in this match.