Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 39.82%. A draw had a probability of 31.3% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 28.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 2-1 (7.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.48%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.