Segunda Division | Gameweek 39
May 7, 2023 at 1pm UK
Ciudad Deportiva del Villarreal

Villarreal II
2 - 0
Sporting Gijon

Ontiveros (39' pen.), Carreira (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Villarreal II and Sporting Gijon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal II

All competitions
Last Game: Burgos 1-0 Villarreal II
Monday, May 1 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Sporting Gijon

All competitions
Last Game: Sporting Gijon 3-1 Lugo
Monday, May 1 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.75%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 1-0 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Villarreal IIDrawSporting Gijon
33.55% (-0.558 -0.56)28.76% (0.053000000000001 0.05)37.69% (0.502 0.5)
Both teams to score 45.41% (-0.219 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.89% (-0.239 -0.24)61.11% (0.236 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.92% (-0.177 -0.18)81.07% (0.17699999999999 0.18)
Villarreal II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05% (-0.503 -0.5)33.95% (0.502 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.37% (-0.549 -0.55)70.62% (0.547 0.55)
Sporting Gijon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.75% (0.191 0.19)31.25% (-0.193 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.4% (0.224 0.22)67.6% (-0.226 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal II 33.55%
    Sporting Gijon 37.68%
    Draw 28.75%
Villarreal IIDrawSporting Gijon
1-0 @ 11.46% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-0 @ 2.23% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 33.55%
1-1 @ 13.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.6% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.75%
0-1 @ 12.33% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.043 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.18% (0.138 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.78% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 37.68%

Head to Head
Oct 7, 2022 8pm
gameweek 9
Sporting Gijon
3-1
Villarreal II
Garcia (8'), Zarfino (25'), Jony (73')
Pacheco (55')
Angel Leal Diaz (42')