Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 36.15%. A win for Eldense had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 30.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.13%) and 1-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Eldense win was 1-0 (12.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Eldense	Draw	Alcorcon
33.35% ( 2.29)	30.5% ( 1.15)	36.15% ( -3.44)

Both teams to score 40.78% (

-2.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.32% (

-3.22)

66.67% (

3.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.95% (

-2.25)

85.04% (

2.25)

Eldense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.89% (

-0.09)

37.1% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.11% (

-0.09)

73.89% (

0.09)

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.84% (

-3.87)

35.16% (

3.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.09% (

-4.27)

71.91% (

4.27)

Score Analysis

Eldense 33.35%

Alcorcon 36.14%

Draw 30.49%

Eldense	Draw	Alcorcon
1-0 @ 12.93% ( 1.42) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.69) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.81% Total : 33.35%	1-1 @ 13.52% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 13.04% ( 1.46) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.36) Other @ 0.43% Total : 30.49%	0-1 @ 13.63% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.69) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.7) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.55) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.55) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.28) Other @ 2.16% Total : 36.14%