Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 49.28%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.3%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.