Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 49.28%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 21.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.3%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Alcorcon	Draw	Racing Club de Ferrol
49.28% ( -0.06)	29.17% ( 0.12)	21.55% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 37.69% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.8% (

-0.35)

67.2% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.6% (

-0.24)

85.4% (

0.24)

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.14% (

-0.2)

27.86% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.54% (

-0.26)

63.46% (

0.26)

Racing Club de Ferrol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.24% (

-0.27)

47.75% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.95% (

-0.2)

83.05% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Alcorcon 49.28%

Racing Club de Ferrol 21.55%

Draw 29.16%

Alcorcon	Draw	Racing Club de Ferrol
1-0 @ 17% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.5% Total : 49.28%	0-0 @ 13.3% ( 0.17) 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.33% Total : 29.16%	0-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 21.55%