Segunda Division | Gameweek 7
Sep 24, 2023 at 1pm UK
Ciudad Deportiva del Villarreal

Villarreal II
3 - 1
Amorebieta

Ontiveros (32'), Fores (48'), Lekovic (60')
Adriano (70'), Requena Sanchez (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hernando (55')
Da Graca (55'), Dorrio Ortega (64'), Edwards (64'), Hernando (75')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Villarreal II and Amorebieta.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal II

All competitions
Last Game: Huesca 2-2 Villarreal II
Saturday, September 16 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Amorebieta

All competitions
Last Game: Amorebieta 2-0 Mirandes
Sunday, September 17 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal II win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal II win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 0-1 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal II would win this match.

Result
Villarreal IIDrawAmorebieta
36.51% (-0.33300000000001 -0.33)28.08% (-0.469 -0.47)35.41% (0.802 0.8)
Both teams to score 47.55% (1.418 1.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.44% (1.723 1.72)58.56% (-1.725 -1.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.87% (1.326 1.33)79.13% (-1.327 -1.33)
Villarreal II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.3% (0.66 0.66)30.7% (-0.661 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.05% (0.773 0.77)66.95% (-0.774 -0.77)
Amorebieta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6% (1.405 1.41)31.4% (-1.406 -1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.23% (1.598 1.6)67.77% (-1.6 -1.6)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal II 36.51%
    Amorebieta 35.4%
    Draw 28.08%
Villarreal IIDrawAmorebieta
1-0 @ 11.38% (-0.54 -0.54)
2-1 @ 7.79% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-1 @ 3.07% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.65% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.115 0.12)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 36.51%
1-1 @ 13.18% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 9.64% (-0.643 -0.64)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.212 0.21)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.08%
0-1 @ 11.16% (-0.3 -0.3)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.227 0.23)
0-2 @ 6.47% (0.077 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.196 0.2)
0-3 @ 2.5% (0.123 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 35.4%