Elche
Segunda Division | Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martinez Valero

Elche
1 - 0
Villarreal II

Fidel (9' pen.)
Josan (84'), Clerc (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Elche and Villarreal II.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eibar 2-1 Elche
Saturday, August 19 at 4pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Villarreal II 3-1 Eldense
Monday, August 21 at 6pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 51.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 21.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Elche in this match.

Result
ElcheDrawVillarreal II
51.71% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)26.34% (0.027999999999999 0.03)21.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 44.79% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.71% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)58.29% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.09% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)78.91% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.33% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)22.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.69% (-0.073 -0.07)56.31% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Villarreal II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.92% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)42.07% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.5% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)78.5% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Elche 51.7%
    Villarreal II 21.95%
    Draw 26.33%
ElcheDrawVillarreal II
1-0 @ 14.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 51.7%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.54% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 21.95%