Segunda Division | Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de A Malata

Racing de Ferrol
2 - 2
Villarreal II

Vicente (52' pen.), Losada (62')
Pena (22'), Bernal (73'), Cubero (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ontiveros (31'), Fores (60')
Rodri (23'), Abraham (37')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Racing Club de Ferrol and Villarreal II.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing Club de Ferrol

All competitions
Last Game: Alcorcon 1-1 Racing de Ferrol
Friday, September 1 at 6.30pm in Segunda Division

Villarreal II

All competitions
Last Game: Villarreal II 1-2 Cartagena
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club de Ferrol win with a probability of 48.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Racing Club de FerrolDrawVillarreal II
48.29% (-0.146 -0.15)27.92% (-0.038 -0.04)23.79% (0.184 0.18)
Both teams to score 42.66% (0.25299999999999 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.94% (0.236 0.24)62.05% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.22% (0.173 0.17)81.78% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
Racing Club de Ferrol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (0.037000000000006 0.04)25.91% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.1% (0.052 0.05)60.9% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Villarreal II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.57% (0.313 0.31)42.42% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.2% (0.267 0.27)78.8% (-0.268 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Racing Club de Ferrol 48.28%
    Villarreal II 23.79%
    Draw 27.91%
Racing Club de FerrolDrawVillarreal II
1-0 @ 14.84% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 10.02% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.6% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.87% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 48.28%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.99% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 3.69% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 5.46% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.04% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.05% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 23.79%