Segunda Division | Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Ciudad Deportiva del Villarreal

Villarreal II
1 - 2
Cartagena

Fores (8')
Ontiveros (16'), Abraham (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ayllon Descalzo (71'), Ortuno (74')
Gonzalo (45'), Ortuno (76'), Narvaez (90+4')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Villarreal II and Cartagena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal II

All competitions
Last Game: Elche 1-0 Villarreal II
Saturday, August 26 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division

Cartagena

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Cartagena 0-1 Levante
Friday, August 25 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.62%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 1-0 (11.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.

Result
Villarreal IIDrawCartagena
31.78% (-0.485 -0.48)29.56% (0.315 0.32)38.66% (0.174 0.17)
Both teams to score 42.92% (-0.938 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.01% (-1.09 -1.09)63.98% (1.094 1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.83% (-0.782 -0.78)83.17% (0.785 0.78)
Villarreal II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.23% (-0.95200000000001 -0.95)36.77% (0.956 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.44% (-0.966 -0.97)73.56% (0.97 0.97)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.88% (-0.452 -0.45)32.12% (0.457 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.4% (-0.518 -0.52)68.6% (0.52200000000001 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal II 31.77%
    Cartagena 38.66%
    Draw 29.55%
Villarreal IIDrawCartagena
1-0 @ 11.81% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 6.71% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-0 @ 5.91% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.24% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.97% (-0.075 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.27% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 31.77%
1-1 @ 13.42% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 11.8% (0.47 0.47)
2-2 @ 3.81% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.55%
0-1 @ 13.41% (0.37 0.37)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-2 @ 7.62% (0.118 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.88% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 38.66%

Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Villarreal II
5-2
Cartagena
Millan (9'), De la Fuente (73' pen.), Pacheco (90+3'), Fores (90+5'), Iosifov (90+9' pen.)
Valle (20'), Kiko (29')
Dec 7, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 19
Cartagena
0-1
Villarreal II
Pacheco (55')