Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 29.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.93%) and 2-1 (7.61%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 0-1 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Santander would win this match.

Result
Racing de Santander	Draw	Cartagena
39.58% ( 0.66)	29.86% ( 0.68)	30.56% ( -1.34)

Both teams to score 41.83% (

-2.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.85% (

-2.41)

65.15% (

2.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16% (

-1.72)

83.99% (

1.71)

Racing de Santander Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.84% (

-0.84)

32.16% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.35% (

-0.96)

68.64% (

0.96)

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.66% (

-2.34)

38.34% (

2.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.9% (

-2.32)

75.09% (

2.32)

Score Analysis

Racing de Santander 39.57%

Cartagena 30.56%

Draw 29.86%

Racing de Santander	Draw	Cartagena
1-0 @ 13.98% ( 0.89) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 3% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.8% Total : 39.57%	1-1 @ 13.41% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 12.33% ( 1.06) 2-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.32) Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.86%	0-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.19) Other @ 1.61% Total : 30.56%