Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club de Ferrol win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing Club de Ferrol in this match.

Result
Racing Club de Ferrol	Draw	Amorebieta
42.9% ( -0.17)	27.99% ( 0.08)	29.11% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 46.13% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.46% (

-0.24)

59.54% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.11% (

-0.19)

79.89% (

0.19)

Racing Club de Ferrol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.51% (

-0.21)

27.49% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37% (

-0.27)

62.99% (

0.27)

Amorebieta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.62% (

-0.05)

36.38% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.83% (

-0.06)

73.17% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Racing Club de Ferrol 42.89%

Amorebieta 29.1%

Draw 27.98%

Racing Club de Ferrol	Draw	Amorebieta
1-0 @ 12.91% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.43% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 42.89%	1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.98%	0-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 29.1%