Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club de Ferrol win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Racing Club de Ferrol in this match.