Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 53.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 20.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Racing Club de Ferrol
53.24% ( 0.37)	25.87% ( -0.04)	20.89% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 44.76% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.36% (

-0.18)

57.64% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.6% (

-0.14)

78.41% (

0.15)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.26% (

0.09)

21.74% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.08% (

0.13)

54.92% (

-0.13)

Racing Club de Ferrol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.19% (

-0.46)

42.81% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.87% (

-0.39)

79.13% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Espanyol 53.23%

Racing Club de Ferrol 20.89%

Draw 25.87%

Espanyol	Draw	Racing Club de Ferrol
1-0 @ 14.2% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 53.23%	1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.87%	0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.04% Total : 20.89%