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Segunda Division | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Ipurua

Eibar
2 - 0
Racing de Ferrol

Stoichkov (25'), Arbilla (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pena (31'), Cubero (62')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Eibar and Racing Club de Ferrol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burgos 1-0 Eibar
Saturday, September 9 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 2-2 Villarreal II
Sunday, September 10 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 53.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 19.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.31%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.

Result
EibarDrawRacing Club de Ferrol
53.28% (0.731 0.73)27.69% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)19.02% (-0.646 -0.65)
Both teams to score 38% (-0.628 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.87% (-0.334 -0.33)65.12% (0.33799999999999 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.02% (-0.232 -0.23)83.98% (0.235 0.23)
Eibar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (0.184 0.18)24.96% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (0.254 0.25)59.6% (-0.25 -0.25)
Racing Club de Ferrol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.64% (-0.962 -0.96)49.35% (0.965 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.79% (-0.687 -0.69)84.2% (0.69 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Eibar 53.27%
    Racing Club de Ferrol 19.02%
    Draw 27.68%
EibarDrawRacing Club de Ferrol
1-0 @ 17.09% (0.3 0.3)
2-0 @ 11.86% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.153 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.37% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 53.27%
0-0 @ 12.31% (0.15 0.15)
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 2.96% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.132 -0.13)
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 19.02%