Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 41.95%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 28.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 2-1 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.