Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 40.66%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 28.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.83%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Real Zaragoza	Draw	Alcorcon
40.66% ( 1.14)	30.77% ( 0.46)	28.57% ( -1.61)

Both teams to score 38.95% (

-1.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.74% (

-1.71)

68.26% (

1.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.89% (

-1.15)

86.1% (

1.14)

Real Zaragoza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.85% (

-0.21)

33.14% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.25% (

-0.23)

69.74% (

0.23)

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.26% (

-2.31)

41.73% (

2.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.79% (

-2.08)

78.2% (

2.07)

Score Analysis

Real Zaragoza 40.66%

Alcorcon 28.56%

Draw 30.76%

Real Zaragoza	Draw	Alcorcon
1-0 @ 15.27% ( 0.85) 2-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.58% Total : 40.66%	0-0 @ 13.83% ( 0.85) 1-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.76%	0-1 @ 12.08% 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.19% Total : 28.56%