Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Villarreal II	Draw	Alcorcon
29.37% ( 0.26)	28.86% ( 0.02)	41.76% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 43.94% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.66% (

0.02)

62.33% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.02% (

0.02)

81.98% (

-0.01)

Villarreal II Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.3% (

0.22)

37.7% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.52% (

0.21)

74.48% (

-0.21)

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.54% (

-0.15)

29.46% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.54% (

-0.18)

65.46% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Villarreal II 29.37%

Alcorcon 41.76%

Draw 28.85%

Villarreal II	Draw	Alcorcon
1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 29.37%	1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.85%	0-1 @ 13.57% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.48% Total : 41.76%