Segunda Division | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadi Nacional

FC Andorra
2 - 0
Alcorcon

Lobete (79'), Calvo (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Morillas (15')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between FC Andorra and Alcorcon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elche 2-1 FC Andorra
Monday, October 9 at 6pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Zaragoza 0-2 Alcorcon
Sunday, October 8 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Andorra win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Andorra would win this match.

Result
FC AndorraDrawAlcorcon
38.07% (1.524 1.52)29.28% (1.072 1.07)32.65% (-2.595 -2.6)
Both teams to score 43.84% (-3.316 -3.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.04% (-3.921 -3.92)62.96% (3.923 3.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.56% (-2.939 -2.94)82.44% (2.94 2.94)
FC Andorra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (-1.041 -1.04)31.96% (1.042 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (-1.204 -1.2)68.42% (1.206 1.21)
Alcorcon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.43% (-3.828 -3.83)35.57% (3.831 3.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.66% (-4.173 -4.17)72.34% (4.174 4.17)
Score Analysis
    FC Andorra 38.06%
    Alcorcon 32.65%
    Draw 29.27%
FC AndorraDrawAlcorcon
1-0 @ 12.96% (1.45 1.45)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.4% (0.635 0.64)
3-1 @ 2.91% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.81% (0.167 0.17)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.24 -0.24)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 38.06%
1-1 @ 13.4% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 11.36% (1.547 1.55)
2-2 @ 3.95% (-0.501 -0.5)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.27%
0-1 @ 11.75% (0.49 0.49)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.657 -0.66)
0-2 @ 6.07% (-0.389 -0.39)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.515 -0.52)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.379 -0.38)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.342 -0.34)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 32.65%

How you voted: FC Andorra vs Alcorcon

FC Andorra
33.3%
Draw
44.4%
Alcorcon
22.2%
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