Segunda Division | Gameweek 10
Oct 8, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de A Malata

Racing de Ferrol
1 - 1
Cartagena

Vadillo (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Carlos (40' pen.)
Carlos (22'), Rico (31'), Fontan (45+1'), Ortuno (79')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Racing Club de Ferrol and Cartagena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing Club de Ferrol

All competitions
Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 1-0 Amorebieta
Thursday, October 5 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division

Cartagena

All competitions
Last Game: Cartagena 0-2 Espanyol
Thursday, October 5 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club de Ferrol win with a probability of 44.02%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 27.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club de Ferrol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Racing Club de FerrolDrawCartagena
44.02% (0.554 0.55)28.94% (0.139 0.14)27.03% (-0.695 -0.7)
Both teams to score 42.52% (-0.754 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.5% (-0.737 -0.74)63.5% (0.735 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.17% (-0.533 -0.53)82.83% (0.532 0.53)
Racing Club de Ferrol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)28.79% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (-0.073 -0.07)64.63% (0.071999999999989 0.07)
Cartagena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.7% (-1.009 -1.01)40.3% (1.007 1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.08% (-0.931 -0.93)76.92% (0.928 0.93)
Score Analysis
    Racing Club de Ferrol 44.02%
    Cartagena 27.03%
    Draw 28.93%
Racing Club de FerrolDrawCartagena
1-0 @ 14.44% (0.37 0.37)
2-0 @ 8.99% (0.215 0.22)
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.73% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 44.02%
1-1 @ 13.12% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.59% (0.31 0.31)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.117 -0.12)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 28.93%
0-1 @ 10.54%
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 27.03%