La Liga Gameweek 21
Real Madrid
Jan 21, 2024 3.15pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Almeria
  • Jude Bellingham 57' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 67' goal
  • Eduardo Camavinga 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Dani Carvajal 90'+9' goal
  • Dani Carvajal 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Jude Bellingham 90'+11' yellowcard
  • goal Largie Ramazani 1'
  • goal Edgar Gonzalez 43'
  • yellowcard Largie Ramazani 52'
  • yellowcard Gaizka Garitano 53'
  • yellowcard Dion Lopy 64'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Pozo 74'
  • yellowcard Edgar Gonzalez 84'
  • redcard Gaizka Garitano 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez Charris 90'+11'

Real Madrid vs Almeria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2024 6.15pm
Real Madrid 1 - 0 Mallorca
Goals scored
87
Top scorer
Jude Bellingham

Almeria

All competitions
Last game
Jan 14, 2024 1.00pm
Almeria 0 - 0 Girona
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Sergio Arribas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 82.52%. A draw had a probability of 10.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 6.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 3-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.52%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (2.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Madrid 82.52% ▲ (+0.79)
Draw 10.75% ▼ (-0.44)
Almeria 6.73% ▼ (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.35% ▲ (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 78.77% ▲ (+0.97)
Under 2.5 21.22% ▼ (-0.97)
Over 3.5 60.18% ▲ (+1.34)
Under 3.5 39.82% ▼ (-1.34)
Over 4.5 40.72% ▲ (+1.39)
Under 4.5 59.28% ▼ (-1.39)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 96.23% ▲ (+0.28)
Under 0.5 3.77% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 1.5 83.87% ▲ (+0.91)
Under 1.5 16.12% ▼ (-0.91)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5 59.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 40.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 22.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 77.01% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 82.52%
Draw 10.75%
Almeria 6.73%
Real Madrid
3-0 @ 8.94% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 8.18% ▼ (-0.23)
3-1 @ 8.1% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 7.42% ▼ (-0.21)
4-0 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.13)
4-1 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.11)
1-0 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.26)
5-0 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.19)
5-1 @ 4.36% ▲ (+0.17)
3-2 @ 3.67% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.05)
6-0 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.16)
6-1 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.14)
5-2 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.08)
7-0 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.10)
7-1 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.09)
6-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 4.66%
Total : 82.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.23)
2-2 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.10)
0-0 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 10.75%
Almeria
1-2 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.11)
0-1 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 6.73%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 2
Almeria
Aug 19, 2023 6.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Real Madrid
  • Sergio Arribas 3' goal
  • Chumi 59' yellowcard
  • goal Jude Bellingham 19'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 60'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 73'
La Liga Gameweek 32
Real Madrid
Apr 29, 2023 5.30pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Almeria
  • Karim Benzema 5' goal
  • Karim Benzema 17' goal
  • Karim Benzema 42' goal
  • Rodrygo 47' goal
  • goal Lazaro 45'+1'
  • goal Lucas Robertone 61'
La Liga Gameweek 1
Almeria
Aug 14, 2022 9.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Real Madrid
  • Largie Ramazani 6' goal
  • Umar Sadiq 40' yellowcard
  • Curro 67' yellowcard
  • Arnau Puigmal 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 40'
  • goal Lucas Vazquez 61'
  • goal David Alaba 75'
La Liga
Real Madrid
Apr 29, 2015 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Almeria
  • James Rodriguez 44' goal
  • Mauro Dos Santos 49' goal
  • Fabio Coentrao 76' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Arbeloa 84' goal
La Liga
Almeria
Dec 12, 2014 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
Real Madrid
  • Verza 11' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Dubarbier 30' yellowcard
  • Verza 39' goal
  • Fernando Soriano 52' yellowcard
  • Fran Velez 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gareth Bale 24'
  • goal Isco 34'
  • goal Gareth Bale 42'
  • yellowcard Marcelo 57'
  • yellowcard Asier Illarramendi 62'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Ronaldo 76'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 81'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 88'
La Liga
Real Madrid
Apr 12, 2014 9.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Almeria
  • Angel di Maria 28' goal
  • Gareth Bale 53' goal
  • Isco 56' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 84' goal

Form Data

Atletico 4 - 2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Barcelona
Real Madrid 5 - 3 Atletico
Arandina 1 - 3 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 1 - 0 Mallorca
Alaves 0 - 1 Real Madrid
Almeria 0 - 0 Girona
Osasuna 1 - 0 Almeria
Barcelona 3 - 2 Almeria
Almeria 0 - 0 Mallorca
Atletico 2 - 1 Almeria
Barbastro 1 - 0 Almeria

Build-up

News