La Liga
Gameweek
23
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-
Brahim Diaz
20'
-
Saul Niguez
37'
-
Mario Hermoso
38'
-
Pablo Barrios
85'
-
Marcos Llorente
90'+3'
-
Memphis Depay
90'+5'
Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result
Real Madrid
62.27%
▲
(+5.13)
Draw
19.77%
▼
(-0.50)
Atletico Madrid
17.96%
▼
(-4.63)
Both Teams to Score:
59.09%
▼
(-6.21)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.76%
▼
(-4.56)
Under 2.5
36.24%
▲
(+4.57)
Over 3.5
41.64%
▼
(-5.18)
Under 3.5
58.36%
▲
(+5.18)
Over 4.5
23.47%
▼
(-4.41)
Under 4.5
76.53%
▲
(+4.41)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
88.82%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
11.18%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
64.32%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
35.68%
▲
(+0.11)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
66.53%
▼
(-6.96)
Under 0.5
33.47%
▲
(+6.96)
Over 1.5
29.9%
▼
(-8.39)
Under 1.5
70.1%
▲
(+8.40)
Score analysis
Real Madrid
62.27%
Draw
19.77%
Atletico Madrid
17.96%
Real Madrid
2-1
@
9.83%
▲
(+0.39)
2-0 @ 8.98% ▲ (+1.87)
1-0 @ 8.2% ▲ (+1.72)
3-1 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.28)
3-0 @ 6.56% ▲ (+1.36)
4-1 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.66)
4-0 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.74)
4-2 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.37)
5-1 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.06)
5-0 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.33)
Other @ 4.61%
Total : 62.27%
2-0 @ 8.98% ▲ (+1.87)
1-0 @ 8.2% ▲ (+1.72)
3-1 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.28)
3-0 @ 6.56% ▲ (+1.36)
4-1 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.15)
3-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.66)
4-0 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.74)
4-2 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.37)
5-1 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.06)
5-0 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.33)
Other @ 4.61%
Total : 62.27%
Draw
1-1
@
8.98%
▲
(+0.38)
2-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.89)
0-0 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.79)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.60)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 19.77%
2-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.89)
0-0 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.79)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▼ (-0.60)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 19.77%
Atletico Madrid
1-2
@
4.91%
▼
(-0.80)
0-1 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.36)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.81)
1-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.74)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 17.96%
0-1 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.36)
2-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.81)
1-3 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.74)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 17.96%
Head to Head
Copa del Rey
-
Samuel Lino
39'
-
Alvaro Morata
57'
-
Alvaro Morata
58'
-
Mario Hermoso
68'
-
Rodrigo De Paul
78'
-
Koke
80'
-
Diego Simeone
83'
-
Antoine Griezmann
100'
-
Antoine Griezmann
101'
-
Axel Witsel
113'
-
Rodrigo Riquelme
119'
-
Vinicius Junior
45'
-
Jan Oblak
45'+1'
(OG)
-
Eduardo Camavinga
56'
-
Brahim Diaz
68'
-
Joselu
82'
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
85'
-
Jude Bellingham
87'
-
Dani Carvajal
89'
Supercopa de Espana
-
Antonio Rudiger
20'
-
Ferland Mendy
29'
-
Dani Carvajal
85'
-
Joselu
116'
-
Brahim Diaz
120'+2'
-
Brahim Diaz
120'+3'
-
Mario Hermoso
6'
-
Antoine Griezmann
37'
-
Antonio Rudiger
78'
(OG)
La Liga
Gameweek
6
-
Alvaro Morata
4'
-
Antoine Griezmann
18'
-
Alvaro Morata
46'
-
Jose Gimenez
45'+1'
-
Toni Kroos
35'
-
Luka Modric
45'
-
Ferland Mendy
67'
-
Jude Bellingham
90'+5'
La Liga
Gameweek
23
-
Alvaro
85'
-
Jose Gimenez
78'
Copa del Rey
-
Rodrygo
79'
-
Karim Benzema
103'
-
Vinicius Junior
120'+1'
-
Alvaro Morata
19'
La Liga
Gameweek
6
-
Mario Hermoso
83'
-
Rodrygo
18'
-
Federico Valverde
36'
Form Data
Build-up
News
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News
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News
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News