La Liga Gameweek 22
Atletico
Jan 28, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Valencia
  • Nahuel Molina 49' yellowcard
  • Samuel Lino 45'+5' goal
  • Memphis Depay 57' goal
  • Saul Niguez 83' yellowcard

Atletico Madrid vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2024 8.00pm
Granada 0 - 1 Atletico
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Antoine Griezmann

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Jan 20, 2024 5.30pm
Valencia 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 20.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result

Atletico Madrid 55.85% ▲ (+0.81)
Draw 24.02% ▼ (-0.36)
Valencia 20.13% ▼ (-0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.81% ▲ (+0.40)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.3% ▲ (+0.86)
Under 2.5 51.7% ▼ (-0.86)
Over 3.5 26.52% ▲ (+0.74)
Under 3.5 73.48% ▼ (-0.75)
Over 4.5 12.34% ▲ (+0.48)
Under 4.5 87.66% ▼ (-0.48)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 81.63% ▲ (+0.63)
Under 0.5 18.37% ▼ (-0.63)
Over 1.5 50.5% ▲ (+1.06)
Under 1.5 49.5% ▼ (-1.06)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 59.79% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 40.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 23.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 76.84% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 55.84%
Draw 24.02%
Valencia 20.13%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 12.51% ▼ (-0.18)
2-0 @ 10.6% ▲ (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.66% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.16)
3-1 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.15)
4-0 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.12)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.07)
4-1 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.11)
4-2 @ 1.05% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 55.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.4% ▼ (-0.16)
0-0 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.26)
2-2 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.02%
Valencia
0-1 @ 6.73% ▼ (-0.23)
1-2 @ 5.2% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.07% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 20.13%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 5
Valencia
Sep 16, 2023 3.15pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Atletico
  • Hugo Duro 5' goal
  • Hugo Duro 34' goal
  • Javi Guerra 54' goal
  • Giorgi Mamardashvili 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 23'
  • yellowcard Marcos Llorente 36'
  • yellowcard Antoine Griezmann 37'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 74'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 86'
La Liga Gameweek 26
Atletico
Mar 18, 2023 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Valencia
  • Antoine Griezmann 23' goal
  • Yannick Carrasco 49' goal
  • Thomas Lemar 67' goal
La Liga Gameweek 3
Valencia
Aug 29, 2022 9.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Atletico
  • Maranhao 18' yellowcard
  • Gennaro Gattuso 26' yellowcard
  • Thierry Correia 42' yellowcard
  • Eray Comert 76' yellowcard
  • Fran Perez 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 14'
  • yellowcard Diego Simeone 26'
  • yellowcard Reinildo Mandava 27'
  • yellowcard Joao Felix 55'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 66'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Atletico
Jan 22, 2022 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Valencia
  • Koke 27' yellowcard
  • Mario Hermoso 37' yellowcard
  • Matheus Cunha 64' goal
  • Luis Suarez 82' yellowcard
  • Hector Herrera 84' yellowcard
  • Angel Correa 90'+1' goal
  • Mario Hermoso 90'+3' goal
  • Jose Gimenez 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thierry Correia 14'
  • goal Yunus Musah 25'
  • yellowcard Dimitri Foulquier 37'
  • yellowcard Yunus Musah 43'
  • goal Hugo Duro 44'
  • yellowcard Hugo Guillamon 61'
  • yellowcard Toni Lato 65'
  • yellowcard Jaume Domenech 83'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Valencia
Nov 7, 2021 3.15pm
3
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Atletico
  • Stefan Savic 50' goal
  • Hugo Guillamon 76' yellowcard
  • Hugo Duro 90'+2' goal
  • Yunus Musah 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Hugo Duro 90'+6' goal
  • goal Luis Suarez 35'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 58'
  • goal Sime Vrsaljko 62'
  • yellowcard Yannick Carrasco 90'
  • yellowcard Antoine Griezmann 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Atletico
Jan 24, 2021 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Valencia
  • Joao Felix 23' goal
  • Sime Vrsaljko 30' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 54' goal
  • Angel Correa 72' goal
  • Stefan Savic 76' yellowcard
  • goal Uros Racic 11'

Form Data

Atletico 1 - 0 Sevilla
Granada 0 - 1 Atletico
Atletico 4 - 2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 5 - 3 Atletico
Lugo 1 - 3 Atletico
Girona 4 - 3 Atletico
Valencia 1 - 0 Athletic Bilbao
Valencia 1 - 3 Celta Vigo
Cadiz 1 - 4 Valencia
Cartagena 1 - 2 Valencia
Valencia 3 - 1 Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano 0 - 1 Valencia