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La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
Atletico Madrid logo

Granada
0 - 1
Atletico


Boye (75'), Batalla (90+5'), Medina (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morata (54')
Niguez (72'), Savic (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Granada and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 1-0 Granada
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 4-2 Real Madrid
Thursday, January 18 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Granada 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Granada's best performances have come at home this season, while Atletico have not been too impressive on their travels. Granada will also be the fresher of the two sides, but we are still expecting Simeone's side to navigate their way to an important three points in Monday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Granada had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result
GranadaDrawAtletico Madrid
29.19% (0.78 0.78) 24.93% (0.18 0.18) 45.87% (-0.963 -0.96)
Both teams to score 55.41% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41% (-0.343 -0.34)47.58% (0.341 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21% (-0.317 -0.32)69.79% (0.316 0.32)
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.96% (0.384 0.38)30.04% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.83% (0.46100000000001 0.46)66.17% (-0.46300000000001 -0.46)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.21% (-0.55800000000001 -0.56)20.79% (0.556 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.56% (-0.88200000000001 -0.88)53.44% (0.88 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Granada 29.19%
    Atletico Madrid 45.87%
    Draw 24.92%
GranadaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.185 0.19)
2-1 @ 7.09% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 4.52% (0.159 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.082 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.81% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 29.19%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.088 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.71% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-3 @ 4.85% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 45.87%

How you voted: Granada vs Atletico

Granada
9.0%
Draw
8.3%
Atletico Madrid
82.7%
133
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 1
Atletico
3-1
Granada
Morata (45+4'), Depay (67'), Llorente (90+8')
Hermoso (39'), Morata (42'), Azpilicueta (90+4')
Omorodion Aghehowa (62')
Gumbau (10'), Lopez (45+7')
Apr 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 33
Atletico
0-0
Granada
Mandava (29'), Savic (45+4'), De Paul (78'), Vrsaljko (85')
Quini (3'), Escudero (58'), Diaz (74'), Puertas (83'), Duarte (90+2')
Dec 22, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 9
Granada
2-1
Atletico
Machis (17'), Molina (61')
Maximiano (66'), Ruiz (69'), Monchu (86'), Torrente (90+5')
Felix (2')
De Paul (7')
Feb 13, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 23
Granada
1-2
Atletico
Herrera (66')
Llorente (63'), Correa (75')
Suarez (39'), Niguez (43'), Savic (77'), Koke (88'), Carrasco (90+1')
Sep 27, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 3
Atletico
6-1
Granada
Costa (9'), Correa (47'), Felix (65'), Llorente (72'), Suarez (85', 90+3')
Felix (27'), Niguez (59'), Partey (74')
Molina (87')
Duarte (15')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid33266171224984
2Barcelona33227468392973
3GironaGirona33225669402971
4Atletico MadridAtletico33204962392364
5Athletic Bilbao331610753332058
6Real Sociedad331312846351151
7Real BetisBetis33121384139249
8Valencia33138123738-147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe331013104145-443
11Osasuna33116163749-1239
12Sevilla33911134246-438
13AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
14Las PalmasLas Palmas33107163041-1137
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca33614132739-1232
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz33414152346-2326
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514


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