Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.