Copa del Rey | Second Round
Dec 7, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio El Montecillo
Cadiz logo

Arandina
2 - 1
Cadiz

Ceesay (5'), Gonzalez Moral (65')
Manuel Bravo Fernandez (19'), Otuo (25'), Atomo (90+4'), Sanz Cisnal (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fede (34')
Chust (19')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Second Round clash between Arandina and Cadiz.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Arandina 1-0 Murcia
Wednesday, November 1 at 4.30pm in Copa del Rey
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 65.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Arandina had a probability of 13.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.55%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for an Arandina win it was 1-0 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
ArandinaDrawCadiz
13.71% (-1.262 -1.26)20.63% (-0.885 -0.88)65.66% (2.147 2.15)
Both teams to score 46.14% (-0.433 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.6% (1.13 1.13)48.41% (-1.127 -1.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46% (1.023 1.02)70.54% (-1.021 -1.02)
Arandina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.6% (-1.16 -1.16)46.4% (1.163 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.97% (-0.905 -0.91)82.03% (0.90599999999999 0.91)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.07% (1.035 1.04)13.93% (-1.032 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.62% (2.003 2)41.38% (-2 -2)
Score Analysis
    Arandina 13.71%
    Cadiz 65.64%
    Draw 20.63%
ArandinaDrawCadiz
1-0 @ 4.96% (-0.406 -0.41)
2-1 @ 3.76% (-0.289 -0.29)
2-0 @ 1.91% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-1 @ 0.96% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 0.95% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 13.71%
1-1 @ 9.78% (-0.408 -0.41)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.305 -0.31)
2-2 @ 3.7% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 20.63%
0-1 @ 12.73% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 12.55% (0.34 0.34)
1-2 @ 9.64% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
0-3 @ 8.25% (0.517 0.52)
1-3 @ 6.34% (0.201 0.2)
0-4 @ 4.07% (0.394 0.39)
1-4 @ 3.12% (0.209 0.21)
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-5 @ 1.6% (0.207 0.21)
1-5 @ 1.23% (0.124 0.12)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 65.64%

How you voted: Arandina vs Cadiz

Arandina
16.7%
Draw
12.5%
Cadiz
70.8%
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