La Liga Gameweek 4
Atletico
Dec 23, 2023 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Sevilla
  • Nahuel Molina 27' yellowcard
  • Jose Gimenez 38' yellowcard
  • Marcos Llorente 46' goal
  • Caglar Soyuncu 70' redcard
  • Axel Witsel 77' yellowcard
  • Angel Correa 77' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 85' yellowcard
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 90' yellowcard
  • Marcos Llorente 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Suso 43'
  • yellowcard Kike Salas 68'
  • yellowcard Sergio Ramos 83'

Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Dec 19, 2023 8.30pm
Atletico 3 - 3 Getafe
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Antoine Griezmann

Sevilla

All competitions
Last game
Dec 19, 2023 8.30pm
Granada 0 - 3 Sevilla
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Youssef En-Nesyri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result

Atletico Madrid 57.39% ▼ (-5.29)
Draw 22.02% ▲ (+1.60)
Sevilla 20.59% ▲ (+3.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.89% ▲ (+1.46)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.35% ▼ (-1.38)
Under 2.5 42.65% ▲ (+1.38)
Over 3.5 34.95% ▼ (-1.39)
Under 3.5 65.05% ▲ (+1.39)
Over 4.5 18.23% ▼ (-1.05)
Under 4.5 81.77% ▲ (+1.05)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 85.37% ▼ (-2.05)
Under 0.5 14.63% ▲ (+2.04)
Over 1.5 57.25% ▼ (-4.08)
Under 1.5 42.75% ▲ (+4.08)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5 65.46% ▲ (+3.20)
Under 0.5 34.54% ▼ (-3.20)
Over 1.5 28.75% ▲ (+3.26)
Under 1.5 71.25% ▼ (-3.26)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 57.39%
Draw 22.01%
Sevilla 20.59%
Atletico Madrid
2-1 @ 9.92% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 9.33% ▼ (-0.87)
3-1 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.52)
3-0 @ 5.98% ▼ (-1.07)
3-2 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.51)
4-0 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.78)
4-2 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.11)
5-1 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.31)
5-0 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.41)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 57.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.32% ▲ (+0.73)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▲ (+0.44)
0-0 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.31)
3-3 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.01%
Sevilla
1-2 @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.82)
0-1 @ 5.37% ▲ (+0.75)
0-2 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.60)
1-3 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.43)
2-3 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.30)
0-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-72.29)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 20.59%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 1
Sevilla
Aug 6, 2023 3.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT AT&T Park
Atletico
  • Joan Jordan 57' yellowcard
  • Joan Jordan 57' yellowcard
  • Rafa Mir 66' goal
  • yellowcard Caglar Soyuncu 33'
  • goal Angel Correa 84'
  • goal Angel Correa 84'
La Liga Gameweek 24
Atletico
Mar 4, 2023 8.00pm
6
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Sevilla
  • Memphis Depay 23' goal
  • Memphis Depay 26' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 53' goal
  • Yannick Carrasco 69' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 76' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 90'+2' goal
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 39'
La Liga Gameweek 7
Sevilla
Oct 1, 2022 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Atletico
  • goal Marcos Llorente 29'
  • goal Alvaro Morata 57'
La Liga Gameweek 37
Atletico
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Sevilla
  • Jose Gimenez 30' goal
  • Mario Hermoso 45' yellowcard
  • Geoffrey Kondogbia 79' yellowcard
  • Koke 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Montiel 41'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Gudelj 72'
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 85'
  • yellowcard Youssef En-Nesyri 86'
  • yellowcard Rafa Mir 88'
  • yellowcard Julen Lopetegui 88'
  • yellowcard Marcos Acuna 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Sevilla
Dec 18, 2021 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Atletico
  • Ivan Rakitic 7' goal
  • Karim Rekik 66' yellowcard
  • Papu 68' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Montiel 69' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ocampos 88' goal
  • goal Felipe 33'
  • yellowcard Matheus Cunha 90'+6'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Sevilla
Apr 4, 2021 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Atletico
  • Diego Carlos 10' yellowcard
  • Marcos Acuna 56' yellowcard
  • Marcos Acuna 70' goal
  • yellowcard Felipe 5'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez 56'
  • yellowcard Marcos Llorente 79'
  • yellowcard Geoffrey Kondogbia 86'

Form Data

Atletico 3 - 3 Getafe
Athletic Bilbao 2 - 0 Atletico
Atletico 2 - 0 Lazio
Atletico 2 - 1 Almeria
Barcelona 1 - 0 Atletico
Feyenoord 1 - 3 Atletico
Granada 0 - 3 Sevilla
Sevilla 0 - 3 Getafe
Lens 2 - 1 Sevilla
Mallorca 1 - 0 Sevilla
Atletico Astorga 0 - 2 Sevilla
Sevilla 1 - 1 Villarreal

Build-up

Match Preview