La Liga
Gameweek
19
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-
Valery Fernandez
2'
-
Savio
26'
-
Daley Blind
39'
-
Ivan Martin
90'+1'
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Alvaro Morata
14'
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Alvaro Morata
44'
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Alvaro Morata
54'
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Mario Hermoso
90'
Girona vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result
Girona
44.8%
▲
(+0.08)
Draw
24.84%
▲
(+0.44)
Atletico Madrid
30.35%
▼
(-0.52)
Both Teams to Score:
56.39%
▼
(-1.77)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.39%
▼
(-2.20)
Under 2.5
46.61%
▲
(+2.20)
Over 3.5
31.12%
▼
(-2.10)
Under 3.5
68.88%
▲
(+2.10)
Over 4.5
15.45%
▼
(-1.50)
Under 4.5
84.55%
▲
(+1.50)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5
79.14%
▼
(-0.87)
Under 0.5
20.86%
▲
(+0.88)
Over 1.5
46.45%
▼
(-1.38)
Under 1.5
53.55%
▲
(+1.39)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
71.26%
▼
(-1.44)
Under 0.5
28.74%
▲
(+1.44)
Over 1.5
35.42%
▼
(-1.83)
Under 1.5
64.58%
▲
(+1.83)
Score analysis
Girona
44.8%
Draw
24.84%
Atletico Madrid
30.35%
Girona
1-0
@
9.4%
▲
(+0.61)
2-1 @ 9.18% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.30)
3-1 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.21)
4-1 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 44.8%
2-1 @ 9.18% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.30)
3-1 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.21)
4-1 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 44.8%
Draw
1-1
@
11.71%
▲
(+0.32)
0-0 @ 6% ▲ (+0.54)
2-2 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.24)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.84%
0-0 @ 6% ▲ (+0.54)
2-2 @ 5.72% ▼ (-0.24)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.84%
Atletico Madrid
0-1
@
7.48%
▲
(+0.39)
1-2 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.20)
0-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 30.35%
1-2 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.10)
0-2 @ 4.66% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.20)
0-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 30.35%