Copa del Rey
Jan 25, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Jose Gimenez 63' yellowcard
  • Mario Hermoso 71' yellowcard
  • Koke 75' yellowcard
  • Memphis Depay 79' goal
  • Diego Simeone 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oliver Torres 33'
  • yellowcard Sergio Ramos 39'
  • yellowcard Adria Pedrosa 62'
  • yellowcard Erik Lamela 73'
  • yellowcard Ivan Rakitic 82'
  • yellowcard Rafa Mir 90'+8'

Atletico Madrid vs Sevilla - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Sevilla

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.43%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result

Atletico Madrid 52.43% (-0.03)
Draw 22.94% (-0.04)
Sevilla 24.63% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.16% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.85% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 42.15% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 35.44% (+0.21)
Under 3.5 64.55% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 18.6% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 81.4% (-0.16)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 83.88% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 16.12% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 54.46% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 45.53% (-0.13)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5 69.34% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 30.66% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 33.09% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 66.91% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 52.43%
Draw 22.94%
Sevilla 24.63%
Atletico Madrid
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.02% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.92% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.01% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.5% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.7% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 2.29%
4-2 @ 1.6% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 52.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.75% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.38% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.94%
Sevilla
1-2 @ 6.3% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.84% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.48% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.27% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 24.63%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 4
Dec 23, 2023 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
  • Nahuel Molina 27' yellowcard
  • Jose Gimenez 38' yellowcard
  • Marcos Llorente 46' goal
  • Caglar Soyuncu 70' redcard
  • Axel Witsel 77' yellowcard
  • Angel Correa 77' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 85' yellowcard
  • Cesar Azpilicueta 90' yellowcard
  • Marcos Llorente 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Suso 43'
  • yellowcard Kike Salas 68'
  • yellowcard Sergio Ramos 83'
Club Friendlies 1
Aug 6, 2023 3.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT AT&T Park
  • Joan Jordan 57' yellowcard
  • Joan Jordan 57' yellowcard
  • Rafa Mir 66' goal
  • yellowcard Caglar Soyuncu 33'
  • goal Angel Correa 84'
  • goal Angel Correa 84'
La Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 4, 2023 8.00pm
6
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
  • Memphis Depay 23' goal
  • Memphis Depay 26' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 53' goal
  • Yannick Carrasco 69' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 76' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 90'+2' goal
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 39'
La Liga Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2022 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
  • goal Marcos Llorente 29'
  • goal Alvaro Morata 57'
La Liga Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jose Gimenez 30' goal
  • Mario Hermoso 45' yellowcard
  • Geoffrey Kondogbia 79' yellowcard
  • Koke 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Montiel 41'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Gudelj 72'
  • goal Youssef En-Nesyri 85'
  • yellowcard Youssef En-Nesyri 86'
  • yellowcard Rafa Mir 88'
  • yellowcard Julen Lopetegui 88'
  • yellowcard Marcos Acuna 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Dec 18, 2021 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ivan Rakitic 7' goal
  • Karim Rekik 66' yellowcard
  • Papu 68' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Montiel 69' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ocampos 88' goal
  • goal Felipe 33'
  • yellowcard Matheus Cunha 90'+6'