Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.43%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.