Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 25.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.