La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Jan 12, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan

Sevilla
2 - 3
Alaves

Mir (70'), Ocampos (82' pen.)
Soumare (50'), Marcao (58'), Navas (63'), Mariano (73')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Tenaglia (26'), Kike (40'), Duarte (90')
Marin (23'), Benavidez (81'), Garcia (90+2'), Kike (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 1-2 Sevilla
Sunday, January 7 at 3pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Alaves

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Betis
Saturday, January 6 at 7pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 25.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Alaves
46.78% ( -0.62)	27.42% ( -0.05)	25.79% ( 0.67)

Both teams to score 45.59% (

0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.81% (

0.56)

59.18% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.39% (

0.43)

79.61% (

-0.44)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66% (

-0.05)

25.34% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.87% (

-0.06)

60.13% (

0.06)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.06% (

0.91)

38.94% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.33% (

0.85)

75.66% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 46.77%

Alaves 25.79%

Draw 27.42%

Sevilla	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 13.54% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.77%	1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.42%	0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.5% Total : 25.79%