Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 18.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Alaves |
| 56.07% ( | 25.21% ( | 18.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.27% ( | 57.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.52% ( | 78.48% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.39% ( | 20.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.84% ( | 53.16% ( |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.69% ( | 45.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.82% ( | 81.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 14.74% ( 2-0 @ 11.64% ( 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 3-0 @ 6.13% ( 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 4-0 @ 2.42% ( 3-2 @ 1.92% ( 4-1 @ 1.92% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 56.06% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0-0 @ 9.34% ( 2-2 @ 3.65% ( Other @ 0.55% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 1-2 @ 4.62% ( 0-2 @ 2.93% ( 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 2-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.59% Total : 18.71% |