Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 18.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.