La Liga Gameweek 19
Valencia
Jan 2, 2024 8.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Villarreal
  • Roman Yaremchuk 4' goal
  • Pepelu 27' goal
  • Pepelu 57' goal
  • Jose Gaya 63' yellowcard
  • Diego Lopez 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eric Bailly 37'
  • yellowcard Marcelino 38'
  • yellowcard Dani Parejo 49'
  • yellowcard Etienne Capoue 56'
  • goal Gerard Moreno 73'
  • yellowcard Ramon Terrats 80'
  • yellowcard Jorge Cuenca 90'+2'

Valencia vs Villarreal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
Dec 19, 2023 6.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 0 - 1 Valencia
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Villarreal

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2023 8.30pm
Villarreal 3 - 2 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Alexander Sorloth

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result

Valencia 43.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 25.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Villarreal 30.54% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.32% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.64% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 49.36% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 28.59% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 71.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 13.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.29% ▲ (+0.01)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 77.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.4% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 44.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 55.91% ▲ (+0.02)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5 70% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 30% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 33.88% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 66.12% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Valencia 43.95%
Draw 25.49%
Villarreal 30.54%
Valencia
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 9.06% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.52%
3-1 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 43.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 6.72% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.45% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.49%
Villarreal
0-1 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.29%
0-2 @ 4.87% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93%
2-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 30.54%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 33
Valencia
May 3, 2023 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Villarreal
  • Samuel Lino 72' goal
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 62'
La Liga Gameweek 15
Villarreal
Dec 31, 2022 3.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de la Cerámica
Valencia
  • Samuel Chukwueze 45' goal
  • Juan Foyth 88' goal
  • goal Edinson Cavani 21'
La Liga Gameweek 33
Villarreal
Apr 19, 2022 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Valencia
  • Arnaut Danjuma 10' goal
  • Arnaut Danjuma 17' goal
  • Manu Trigueros 75' yellowcard
  • Serge Aurier 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eray Comert 9'
  • yellowcard Maranhao 40'
  • yellowcard Ilaix Moriba 66'
La Liga Gameweek 12
Valencia
Oct 30, 2021 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Villarreal
  • Hugo Guillamon 43' goal
  • Hugo Guillamon 47' yellowcard
  • Omar Alderete 63' yellowcard
  • Carlos Soler 77' goal
  • yellowcard Arnaut Danjuma 53'
  • yellowcard Manu Trigueros 73'
  • yellowcard Raul Albiol 75'
  • yellowcard Samuel Chukwueze 79'
La Liga Gameweek 26
Valencia
Mar 5, 2021 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Villarreal
  • Uros Racic 14' yellowcard
  • Carlos Soler 23' yellowcard
  • Jose Gaya 39' yellowcard
  • Maxi Gomez 67' yellowcard
  • Carlos Soler 86' goal
  • Goncalo Guedes 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Juan Foyth 36'
  • goal Gerard Moreno 40'
  • yellowcard Etienne Capoue 42'
  • yellowcard Raul Albiol 85'
La Liga Gameweek 6
Villarreal
Oct 18, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de la Cerámica
Valencia
  • Paco Alcacer 6' goal
  • Vicente Iborra 12' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Pedraza 52' yellowcard
  • Dani Parejo 69' goal
  • Takefusa Kubo 72' yellowcard
  • Takefusa Kubo 90'+2' redcard
  • goal Goncalo Guedes 37'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Paulista 84'

Form Data

Rayo Vallecano 0 - 1 Valencia
Valencia 1 - 1 Barcelona
Getafe 1 - 0 Valencia
Arosa 0 - 1 Valencia
Girona 2 - 1 Valencia
Valencia 0 - 0 Celta Vigo
Villarreal 3 - 2 Celta Vigo
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Villarreal
Rennes 2 - 3 Villarreal
Villarreal 0 - 3 Real Sociedad
Villarreal 0 - 0 M. Haifa
Sevilla 1 - 1 Villarreal