La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 18

Dec 20, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
3 - 2
Celta Vigo

Pedraza (13'), Mandi (40'), Parejo (48' pen.)
Baena (75'), Comesana (76')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Douvikas (52'), Strand Larsen (57')
Vazquez (46'), Mingueza (72'), Sanchez (82'), Douvikas (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Villarreal
Sunday, December 17 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celta Vigo

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Granada
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47.23%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Celta Vigo
47.23% ( 1.07)	24.38% ( 0.11)	28.38% ( -1.18)

Both teams to score 56.71% (

-1.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.36% (

-1.2)

45.63% (

1.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.04% (

-1.15)

67.96% (

1.15)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.58% (

-0.04)

19.42% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.75% (

-0.06)

51.24% (

0.05)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.37% (

-1.44)

29.62% (

1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.33% (

-1.79)

65.66% (

1.79)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 47.23%

Celta Vigo 28.38%

Draw 24.38%

Villarreal	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.46) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.37) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.09% Total : 47.23%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.38%	0-1 @ 7% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.28% Total : 28.38%