Copa del Rey | Round of 16

Jan 17, 2024 at 7pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
1 - 3
Celta Vigo

Pepelu (29' pen.)
Gasiorowski (86')

FT(HT: 1-2)

de la Torre (13'), Douvikas (18' pen., 80')
Vazquez (48'), Swedberg (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Valencia and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Cadiz 1-4 Valencia
Sunday, January 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, January 13 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Celta Vigo
41.75% ( 0.2)	27.3% ( -0.1)	30.95% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 48.9% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.58% (

0.35)

56.42% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.57% (

0.28)

77.43% (

-0.28)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.35% (

0.27)

26.65% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.11% (

0.35)

61.89% (

-0.35)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.66% (

0.12)

33.33% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.04% (

0.13)

69.96% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Valencia 41.74%

Celta Vigo 30.95%

Draw 27.3%

Valencia	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.74%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.3%	0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.95%