Copa del Rey
Jan 7, 2024 11.00am
2
4
HT : 2 1
FT Instalaciones de Lezama Campo 1
  • Eneko Jauregi 30' goal
  • Rayco Rodriguez 35' goal
  • yellowcard Jailson 4'
  • goal Miguel Rodriguez 6'
  • goal Jailson 49'
  • goal Anastasios Douvikas 52'
  • yellowcard Unai Nunez 70'
  • goal Anastasios Douvikas 75'

Amorebieta vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Amorebieta

All competitions

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result

Amorebieta 33.95% (-0.02)
Draw 27.92% (+0.02)
Celta Vigo 38.13% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.88% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.92% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 58.08% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 21.25% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 78.75% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 9.07% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 90.94% (+0.03)

Amorebieta Goals

Over 0.5 67.9% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 32.11% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 31.42% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 68.58% (+0.05)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 70.53% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 29.48% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 34.52% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65.49% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Amorebieta 33.95%
Draw 27.92%
Celta Vigo 38.13%
Amorebieta
1-0 @ 10.75% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.11%
3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.46% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.92%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 11.56% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.06% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 38.13%