Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Instalaciones de Lezama Campo 1
Celta Vigo logo

Amorebieta
2 - 4
Celta Vigo

Jauregi (30'), Rodriguez (35')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rodriguez (6'), Jailson (49'), Douvikas (52', 75')
Jailson (4'), Nunez (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa del Rey clash between Amorebieta and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Amorebieta

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Amorebieta 1-2 Alcorcon
Thursday, December 21 at 8.30pm in Segunda Division

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Celta Vigo 2-1 Betis
Wednesday, January 3 at 6.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Amorebieta had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Amorebieta win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
AmorebietaDrawCelta Vigo
33.95% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)27.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02)38.13% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 47.88% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.92% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)58.08% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.25% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)78.75% (0.044000000000011 0.04)
Amorebieta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)32.11% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)68.58% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.53% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)29.48% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.52% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)65.49% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Amorebieta 33.95%
    Celta Vigo 38.13%
    Draw 27.92%
AmorebietaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.11%
3-1 @ 2.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 9.46% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 11.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.06% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 38.13%

How you voted: Amorebieta vs Celta Vigo

Amorebieta
4.8%
Draw
19.0%
Celta Vigo
76.2%
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