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Segunda Division | Gameweek 19
Dec 9, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla

Valladolid
2 - 1
Amorebieta

Juric (54'), Salazar (86')
Pezzolano (68'), Escudero (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hernando (37')
Nunez (4'), Gaya (17'), Mier (82')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Valladolid and Amorebieta.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Espanyol 3-1 Valladolid
Tuesday, December 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Amorebieta

All competitions
Segunda Division
Last Game: Levante 0-1 Amorebieta
Wednesday, December 6 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 58.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Amorebieta had a probability of 17.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for an Amorebieta win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawAmorebieta
58.8% (0.506 0.51)23.26% (0.116 0.12)17.94% (-0.622 -0.62)
Both teams to score 47.47% (-1.43 -1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.4% (-1.336 -1.34)51.6% (1.337 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.61% (-1.174 -1.17)73.39% (1.174 1.17)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.74% (-0.29900000000001 -0.3)17.26% (0.298 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.42% (-0.529 -0.53)47.58% (0.529 0.53)
Amorebieta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.37% (-1.515 -1.52)42.63% (1.516 1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.03% (-1.318 -1.32)78.97% (1.319 1.32)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 58.79%
    Amorebieta 17.94%
    Draw 23.26%
Real ValladolidDrawAmorebieta
1-0 @ 12.92% (0.55 0.55)
2-0 @ 11.35% (0.38 0.38)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 6.65% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-0 @ 2.92% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 58.79%
1-1 @ 11.02% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.36% (0.385 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.208 -0.21)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.26%
0-1 @ 6.27% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.7% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-2 @ 2.68% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 17.94%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 29
Valladolid
5-1
Amorebieta
Weissman (14'), Leon (19', 61', 71'), Anuar (87')
Plano (30'), Mesa (32'), Sanchez (33')
Guruzeta (54')
Lozano (26')
Nov 3, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 14
Amorebieta
4-1
Valladolid
Orozco (12'), Olaetxea (29'), Unzueta (35'), Larrazabal (86')
Luengo (33'), Orozco (40'), Unzueta (46')
Fede (18')